Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 57.321710 65.384798 73.665473 82.770681 92.468062 102.456536 113.491839
2025-12-14 44.365051 55.753672 68.033196 82.112673 97.674972 114.229875 133.055653
2025-12-21 35.786229 48.717428 63.210630 80.355213 99.808653 120.957372 145.460433
2025-12-28 32.085439 46.576108 63.314382 83.578363 107.004660 132.856816 163.187001
2026-01-04 28.397999 43.933808 62.409575 85.261763 112.126442 142.163969 177.784878
2026-01-11 24.274790 40.284823 59.928136 84.766004 114.456780 148.080313 188.364940
2026-01-18 20.807601 37.092604 57.700559 84.309522 116.610841 153.613537 198.351317
2026-01-25 18.235247 34.808958 56.393262 84.788872 119.723148 160.135626 209.369669
2026-02-01 15.552721 32.083559 54.303370 84.119188 121.309914 164.760804 218.100425
2026-02-08 13.432984 29.931813 52.793929 84.038482 123.498916 170.007699 227.481795
2026-02-15 11.289276 27.492898 50.720593 83.092873 124.511422 173.769159 235.051407
2026-02-22 10.053068 26.334332 50.310543 84.230448 128.051936 180.513596 246.102517
2026-03-01 8.992925 25.368008 50.131338 85.669219 131.999557 187.805189 257.888768
2026-03-08 7.427701 23.327079 48.280189 84.785641 132.949251 191.425658 265.288306
2026-03-15 5.867867 21.029953 45.884265 83.035095 132.691833 193.496074 270.769790
2026-03-22 5.595409 21.173636 47.154433 86.309687 138.901730 203.503759 285.788772
2026-03-29 5.024031 20.630044 47.322265 88.024592 143.072121 210.989467 297.768390
2026-04-05 4.094509 19.162901 45.952859 87.519728 144.301286 214.803717 305.288568
2026-04-12 3.295241 17.804925 44.660610 87.055114 145.533337 218.586095 312.743571
2026-04-19 2.744775 16.912370 44.063532 87.543042 147.994605 223.883592 322.029370
2026-04-26 2.111808 15.617949 42.703555 86.861357 148.854108 227.141112 328.802278
2026-05-03 1.645262 14.625441 41.785911 86.779202 150.482925 231.344540 336.717506
2026-05-10 1.168260 13.374919 40.319211 85.816565 150.877443 233.954088 342.650394